We see scenario planning as allowing for business alignment, developing a robust strategy and identifying new opportunities.  

It is a process that brings out assumptions held in various parts of the organisation, allowing the company to test and shape the strategy in different future environments.  It is particularly useful where there is turbulence, uncertainty, novelty and ambiguity.  

We follow the Oxford Scenario Planning Approach and can assist businesses to embed or adjust processes to think again about the future and see things differently.

We see macroeconomics as a way to characterise and understand the global system in simple terms, not only through the lens of growth in economic output or exchange rates. We consider aggregate downstream systems, policies, geopolitical concerns, technology development and even populations as we think about where products go to and inputs come from.

We can analyse various parts of the system that are relevant to the business, or help set up and optimise existing work that is in place. This includes considering geopolitical, country or value chain analysis.

We analyse supply, demand, transport and price formation in various markets, with specialisation in the resources industry. While we can provide high level views, we are most useful in using primary research that already exists to provide synthesised views on particular strategic questions, always skewing towards a quantitative approach.

This includes bulks, metals, energy and fertiliser industries, with models set up to clarify assumptions and market interactions.

We see this as complimentary to the scenario based approach and are able to effectively help a business get the most out of a deterministic forecast and scenarios dealing with uncertainty – both are aimed at understanding the external environment and making the most of what the business sees.

Other processes related to strategy that can also be covered include valuations, mergers and acquisition processes, due diligence of mining projects, both of buyers and technical aspects, and obtaining debt finance, either by SoluSynth or with partners.

We are highly collaborative with our clients and, where our clients would get value and allow it, also with other businesses.